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Economy
How the Federal Reserve May Signal a Rate Cut Today

How the Federal Reserve May Signal a Rate Cut Today

Everybody's looking for the Federal Reserve to signal an interest-rate cut today. The central bank issues its policy statement at 2 p.m. ET -- one of the most important events this week. It could be even bigger than usual because Fed watchers are looking for a key...

Another Positive Week as Economy Refuses to Say ‘Die’

Another Positive Week as Economy Refuses to Say ‘Die’

Stocks kept rising last week as the economy continues to defy naysayers. The S&P 500 inched up 0.5 percent between Friday, June 7, and Friday, June 14. It followed the biggest weekly gain of the year as the index consolidated in a tight range above an important...

Why Tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payrolls May Be an Anticlimax

Why Tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payrolls May Be an Anticlimax

Monthly non-farm payrolls are usually a big deal for the market, but that may not be the case tomorrow. After all, the big story now is the possibility of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Officials from the U.S. central bank have grown increasingly dovish, including...

Federal Reserve Joins the Global Flock of Dovish Central Bankers

Federal Reserve Joins the Global Flock of Dovish Central Bankers

Stocks just had their second-biggest rally of the year, partially because of the Federal Reserve. It's worth recapping what happened. The story actually began on Monday, when James Bullard of the St. Louis Fed said a rate cut "may be warranted soon." Then yesterday,...

Is Anything Weirder Than the Economy Right Now?

Is Anything Weirder Than the Economy Right Now?

Gross domestic product (GDP) is due tomorrow. It's a good time to examine just how weird the economic situation has gotten. Things look increasingly negative from one perspective, but surprisingly positive from another vantage point. It's confounding experts, but may...

Construction Reclaiming Role in U.S. Economy, Years After Subprime Crash

Construction Reclaiming Role in U.S. Economy, Years After Subprime Crash

Construction, left for dead after the subprime crash, may be reclaiming its importance for the U.S. economy. Today's private-sector payrolls report from ADP showed the industry adding 49,000 jobs in April. That translated into a 0.66 percent increase overall -- triple...

Why the U.S. Dollar Is Pushing to its Highest Level in Two Years

Why the U.S. Dollar Is Pushing to its Highest Level in Two Years

The greenback surged yesterday as America's growth prospects kept outshining the rest of the world. Futures on the U.S. dollar index (@DX) ended Wednesday's session at 97.86, their highest close in more than two years. Two broad forces seem to be at work. One's a push...

What the Surge in Rails May Be Saying About the Economy

What the Surge in Rails May Be Saying About the Economy

Economists have worried about the economy slowing, but railroads are telling a different story. The Dow Jones US Railroads Index ($DJUSRR) rose more than 2 percent today to a new all-time high. They've helped the broader transportation index ($DJT) and industrial...